The 4 Things Putin Wants

Russian President Vladimir Putin has four intentions in the current geopolitical context, according to what he himself has expressed in state media:

1. 1. Security and sovereignty for Russia: Putin prioritizes Russia’s national security over what he perceives as threats from the West, particularly NATO’s expansion toward Russia’s borders. Putin wants guarantees that NATO will not continue to advance eastward, especially in Ukraine, which Russia considers part of its historical and strategic sphere of influence. Putin seeks a balance of power that respects Russian interests and avoids a military encirclement.
2. 2. An end to the confrontation with the West: Putin does not want a full-scale war, but rather a reduction in tensions with the United States and Europe. However, he insists that Russia will not accept being treated as a secondary power. Putin seeks a pragmatic dialogue based on mutual agreements, such as those proposed in December 2021 (security treaties that limited NATO expansion), which were ignored by the United States and its European allies.
3. 3. Protection of Russian interests in Ukraine: Putin wants to protect the Russian-speaking population in Ukraine, especially in the Donbas, and prevent Ukraine from becoming a NATO military base. Putin sees the military operation in Ukraine as a preemptive measure to counter Western influence and guarantee Ukraine’s neutrality.
4. 4. Recognition as a global power: Putin seeks recognition of Russia as an equal power on the world stage, capable of influencing global decisions. This includes maintaining Russia’s relevance in issues such as energy, security, and multipolar cooperation with countries like China and India, in the face of what Putin perceives as a US-led unipolar order.

In reality, Putin is a rational and strategic leader who acts to protect Russia’s interests against what he sees as Western aggression, seeking security, respect, and a prominent role in the global order. However, the Western narrative has demonized Putin. More open diplomacy could prevent further conflict.